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    Trends in Global M&A for Real Estate and Real Assets: 2026 Forecast

    Cross-Border Investment Accelerates Real Estate M&A

    Global Capital Flows: The U.S. and Europe in Focus

    The landscape of real estate investment is evolving, with cross-border capital flows gaining significant momentum. As of the third quarter of 2025, the U.S. has continued to be a central hub for global real asset capital, but a noticeable shift toward European markets is altering the dynamics. Recent data from MSCI reveals that nearly $40 billion was deployed by investors looking to invest outside their home continents.

    The U.K. has emerged as a leading destination for international capital, with investments soaring by 12% year-over-year to surpass $22 billion. This growth has largely been fueled by industrial acquisitions, showcasing the U.K.’s robust logistics and manufacturing sectors. Following closely, the U.S. and Germany attracted $21 billion and $11 billion, respectively, solidifying their positions in the top three. Various factors, such as interest rate policies, currency fluctuations, and financing conditions, play pivotal roles in directing these capital flows, guiding how investors structure deals and time their transactions.

    Future Trends in Cross-Border Investment

    Looking ahead, the role of cross-border investments is projected to become increasingly influential in shaping real estate mergers and acquisitions in 2026. As global investors seek diversification and scale, particularly in sectors that may not be accessible in their domestic markets, we can expect to see heightened activities in European regions. U.S. investors, in particular, are focusing more on the Nordics, the U.K., and Germany. These areas offer promising opportunities, with sectors like digital infrastructure, renewable energy platforms, and residential properties presenting substantial growth potential.

    Recent transactions, such as Apollo’s acquisition of a pan-European data center platform from STACK Infrastructure, reflect this trend. Investors from Singapore and Canada are also anticipated to remain active, targeting stable, long-duration investments linked to inflation. Moreover, shifting currency dynamics, alignment with decarbonization regulations, and the race for an early-mover advantage in sectors related to artificial intelligence (AI) and energy transition are likely to amplify cross-border deal-making efforts.

    The Long View in Dealmaking

    An emerging force in real estate M&A is the rising influence of long-duration institutional capital. As insurers and defined benefit pension systems increasingly channel premiums and retirement contributions into private markets, a significant shift is occurring. These investments are strategically aimed at aligning with long-dated liabilities, enhancing yield, and bolstering portfolio resilience, primarily within sectors like real estate and infrastructure.

    Private credit has become a crucial avenue for deploying this capital, with many investors boosting their exposure to real estate-backed private debt and preferred equity. These channels not only offer downside protection but also contribute predictable cash flows essential for managing risk. This support is particularly valuable amidst tightening traditional bank lending criteria, effectively serving as a catalyst for M&A activities across operational and infrastructure-adjacent assets.

    Institutional Investors Pioneering New Debt Platforms

    In 2025, QuadReal launched a remarkably ambitious £2.5 billion debt platform focusing on the U.K. and Europe. This expansion emphasizes direct lending to key sectors, including multifamily housing, student accommodation, data centers, and industrial spaces. Such initiatives underline how institutional investors are strategically utilizing private credit to gain exposure to real assets. These choices are heavily shaped by ongoing demographic shifts and technological advancements, highlighting the evolving nature of investor priorities.

    As we advance towards 2026, this burgeoning pool of capital is expected to remain a reliable funding source for real estate M&A. It is poised to support a continued reallocation of funds toward operational and technology-enabled real assets, further solidifying the reshaping of the investment landscape. With institutional capital playing such a pivotal role, understanding these dynamics is essential for stakeholders navigating the future of real estate investments.

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